Is it likely Obama will trick Iran or North Korea into firing the first shot?

YES!!!

I just posted this over on the thread You’re opinion about the Hiroshima and Nagasaki bombings, but I will post it again here:

The Future is Calling, by G. Edward Griffin:

Part 1: The Chasm

Explains the major ideological split in the Western World: Collectivism vs. Individualism

Part 2: Secret Organizations and Hidden Agendas

Introduces the two major branches of collectivism: Fabianism and Lenininsm

Part 3: Days of Infamy

Introduces the false-flag strategy: Aggravate, Facilitate, Insulate

An analysis of World War I, World War II, Operation Mongoose during the Kennedy administration

Part 4 The War on Terrorism

9/11 and the Bush administration cover-up

Part 5: An Idea Whose Time Has Come

Griffin’s proposed solution and strategy to achieve freedom

I’m not sure what the specific tricks will be, but there will be tricks. And the strategy will be the same as it has been throughout history.