The following article by Byron Dale nails the cause of Price Inflation smack dead with the hammer of logic.
Let us examine this claim.
A Close Look at The Theory of Inflation
By Byron Dale
Webster’s New World College Dictionary states: Inflation – (a) an increase in the amount of money and credit in relation to the supply of goods and services. (b) an increase in the general price level, resulting from this, specif., an excessive or persistent increase, causing a decline in purchasing power.
Let’s assume for the moment that Webster’s definition is correct. If it is we need to address the issue of how and on what basis did the amount of money and credit increase without there being an increase in the goods and services.
The Fed wrote into their computers that the major banks have more money deposited in their accounts at the Fed than they did before. Now being a newbie, I do not know how this produces more money for the govt to spend, as opposed to the banks having more money to spend. So I will assume, for simplification, that the govt has an account in some bank and the govt just writes into their bank book that they have more money. And voila, they have it. If anyone can help me out here I will appreciate it.
This increase in money and credit could not arise due to the need to pay for any existing goods
Well, yes it did. Say General Dreedle comes in, hat in hand, to Pres Obama and says “I need another trillion to win the war.” Obama looks in his bank book and there is no money. But he needs to pay for the existing goods, i.e. for guns and planes and so forth. So he prints into the gov bank book that he has more money, cuts a check to Dreedle, and says, “Spend it, my son.”
or due to the need for more money or credit to purchase any increase in goods or services.
Well, yes it can. General Dreedle says “We need more men in the army. There are a few thousand loafers who would join if we quadrupled the salary being paid. We need an increase in their service to our country.” See above paragraph to see how Obama handles it.
Black’s Law Dictionary defines Credit as “Time allowed to the buy of goods by the seller, in which to make payment for them.” –“The right granted by a creditor to a debtor to defer payment of debt or to incur debt and defer its payment.
According to this definition there would need to be an increase in the amount of goods and services coupled with a shortage of money needed to obtain those good or services before there would be any need for credit at all.
There lurks in this paragraph a confusion that it is important to clarify. There is a huge difference between an individual and the country as a whole. For example, the country as a whole has several trillion dollars to play with. I, as an individual, have much less. OK now let us ask ourselves, who is Black’s Dictionary talking about, me with my few bucks, or the country, that has trillions? Me, of course. There is a good or service out there, say a yacht, that i want to buy, But my wallet doesn’t have the moolah to buy it. So Mr Yacht owner says, don’t worry, you can have it on credit.
All most every one has the lawful authority to create goods or provide a service. At this time only banks have the lawful authority to create money. As a general rule the goods are created and the services rendered before payment is made for the goods and services.
All very true.
Therefore
I feel a non sequitor coming on.
an increase in money needed only to gain a profit off of money in and of itself,
I am sorry. i dont know what it means to gain a profit off of money in and of itself
without any ties to an increase in goods, is the only reason
the reason the gov gives itself money is to be able to spend it. Just as I didnt have the money to buy a yacht, general dreedle didnt have the money to buy weapons. so he got obama to print some , and he went out and spent it. I am not sure if this is called “gaining a profit off of money in and of itself”
and the only way money could be created without there being an increase in goods or services.
money is always created without there being an increase in goods or services. a baby is born without there being an increase in goods or services. the moon rises and sets without etc. So what? Im not sure what the author is driving at.
The only way an increase in the money supply would increase prices would be if almost every thing was bought and sold at auctions where the price is determined by the bidding process.
Huh? tell that to Zimbabwe, or the weimar republic, or Argentina. I guess the author is picturing this scenario. Mr Grocer sells his apples at 99 cents a pound. general dreedle walks in with his new money and wants to buy every last apple for the new recruits. Mr Grocer sells them all to general dreedle and is very happy. why should the price go up, right? In fact it didn’t. all the apples were sold for 99 cents a pound. author’s case proven, right?
The answer is that indeed general dreedle got his apples for cheap. the other potential buyers of apples walk in and see all the apple are gone. descending like a hungry horde of locusts, they buy more of other stuff, say pears. the pear buyers walk in and see empty shelves etc. it takes a while, but eventually the extra money general dreedle has put into the system is spread around to alot of hands. say that before the general got his money there was 100 tons of stuff to buy and 100 dollars to pay for it. a year has passed. now there is still 100 tons, but 200 dollars to pay for it. what is going to happen? clearly the price of everything will double. because people have extra money, and are telling themselves, this year Im gonna get those apples, dammit, even if i have to pay double. after all, i do have all that extra cash this year. astute mr grocer knows this [you shoulda seen those people last year, fighting over the few apples dreedle didnt notice. well this year dreedle and everyone else will be willing to pay double. and thats exactly what I’ll charge them. why not?]
Personal observation and experience has shown me that ever few buyers offer to pay more than the seller’s asking price.
Very astute.
This fact
which fact? the one his personal observation and experience has shown him? Im not clear here what he is talking about.
in proven by the fact that so many things are now sold with the words on sale preceding the asking price, leading the buyers to believe they are buying the goods at less than the regular selling price. The fact that there is a shortage of money to buy all the goods that are for sale is proven by the fact that there is so many ads promising no money down and no interest for a certain length of time if one will only buy the goods right now.
yes people have lost a lot of money lately, and some have lost their jobs, and cant afford to pay for things, so they have to be enticed by sales and no money downs etc.
Now this is a shortage of money in the wallets and purses of individual people. They have a shortage of money, like I have a shortage of money to buy my yacht.
I guess the author is trying to say, “and therfore there cannot possibly be inflation. There is a shortage of money, right? therefor no inflation is possible, because thats caused by an excess of money.” Well i have a shortage of money, and everyone in town does too, EXCEPT FOR GENERAL DREEDLE. he is taking baths in the stuff, like uncle scrooge mcduck used to do in the comic books. And when he walks into the stores and gobbles everything up, all those for sale signs are gonna disappear. He hasnt arrived yet, thats why the for sale signs are out there. but he will sooner or later. And then prices will shoot up. Ask Zimbabwe, ask Aregntina.
Many writers use the example of the king taking the metal money he acquires through taxes and other means, then re-coining and debasing it by substituting less valuable metal for the more valuable metal. Therefore, the king is able to issue more coins with the same amount of the more valuable metals, thus inflating the money supply, resulting in increased prices. This only proves the king believed that he had a shortage of money.
There could only be truth to this line of thought if anyone was used to dealing in metal money where it would be possible to recognize that the new coins did not have the same metal composition as the old coins. The seller upon realizing that he was not receiving as much of the more valuable metal as he was expecting for his goods or services clearly might rise his prices to obtain the same amount of the more valuable metal as he was expecting.
Those facts are no longer in play today. We do not use metal money, if fact we don’t even use paper money. We only use bank generated numbers as our money. Everyone I know when given the amount of bank generated numbers that he was expecting is happy with his deal. No one can tell the difference in numbers like they can with metals.
Not one person in ten million truly understands how our money system works, the principle under which it functions and how it gets into circulation so the people can use it, and even fewer care. I doubt if one man in two million has any idea what the money supply is or whether it has increased or decreased, so why would people rise or lower there prices due to an increase or a decrease in the money supply when they didn’t even know that there had been one.
Because general dreedle is gobbling everything up, at the same time spreading dollars around, so by the law of supply and demand, apples will be more expensive
If we were using gold as money it is possible and in fact likely that in the area of a gold rush there could be a temporality rise in prices on the goods the gold miners needed.
SO he admits that if there is more money running loose, prices go up. glad we are on the same page.
That rise in prices of goods would only last till people found out it is easier to get the gold by supplying the miners with more goods then it was trying to find more gold
please explain this hammer blow of logic to me. I dont get it at all.
or when most of the new gold was mined out, harder to find or already owned by a few.
the hammer has struck, but I dont get this line either. please explain
Webster’s Dictionary also states: Inflationary spiral - a continuous and accelerating rise in the prices of goods and services, primarily due to the interaction of increases in wages and costs.
A continuous and accelerating rise in the price of goods and services is clearing what we are experiencing.
I thought there are for sale signs out there. Whats going on here? has the hammer of logic hit the author on the thumb, making him contradict himself? no wait. i didnt read things carefully enough. there are for sale signs "leading the buyers to believe" things are cheaper. But the author is not fooled. clearly we are experiencing a continuous and accelerating rise. But shh, dont tell anyone that those for sale signs are all frauds. let the people believe what they want. trick them.
The question is why do costs keep increasing?
because general dreedle and all his friends who also buy things for the govt are getting those fat checks to spend, as explained above
To answer that question we have to truly understand how our money gets into circulation. Today all money goes into circulation as interest-bearing loans. When money is created as interest bearing debt, the debt owed goes up and the interest on that debt always drives up the cost of doing business. When governments borrow their interest cost increases follow by an increase in taxes. Interest always increases the cost of doing business. Interest also causes the debt increase but it does not increase the money supply nor does it increase goods or services. Interest on debt also increases the need for an increase in the money supply to pay added cost of the interest or someone must suffer a loss of money. Add to this when the principal of a loan is repaid the money is extinguished causing a decrease in the money supply until someone borrows more money. When money is loaned into circulation at interest, interest is the only cost that can’t be eliminated without stopping the increase in the money supply.
Ahhh, now we see.. This has been covered in another thread. Mr tomazope has threshed this out at length in the other thread, and has been refuted [to my satisfaction anyway] over there.
There are only three increases in the cost of doing business that courts will force you to pay, interest, taxes and rent.
huh? so if I buy something on credit and pay off all the interest [say 5 dollars] but not the principal [say 100 dollars], the courts wont force me to pay?
When one suffers from a rise in interest, taxes or rent they must raise their prices or cut your living standard.
I heard a tape just last night that refuted this. say Mr Greedy Grocer is charging 99 cents a pound for apples. If he could sell at $1.10 a pound and make more money, would he? you bet your a ss he would. he is not in business to run a charity, but to make as much money as possible. So when he gets hit by a tax on apples, he is not going to raise his prices. that will just get him less money from his customers, as he has already calculated. he will just have to swallow the loss. The tape said Rothbard came up with this argument.
When your standard of living starts to suffer most people try to get an increase in wages.
Really? Most people I know just tighten their belts, especially the now unemployed ones.
Add greed
Which comes and goes in spurts, it seems. From 2000 to 2008 no one was greedy. Suddenly, like an outburst of swine flu, a wave of greed swept across the land. please, grow up. Greed is a constant in human nature. And put that hammer away.
and growing governmental regulations to interest and taxes and you have the true cause of price inflation.
nope.
Do you really think that the price of gasoline went up to over $4 a gallon because there was a sudden increase in the money supply?
Yes.
I just heard a tape about this one too. Say the citizens have [to keep things simple] one hundred dollars in all their wallets combined. gas is $2 a gallon. they spend all their 100 dollars on the things they need, including say 20 bucks for gas. everyone is happy. then the next paycheck comes. gas is now $4 a gallon. having no choice, or because they want to buy the same amount of gas even if it costs that much, they spend 40 bucks on gas. they now have 60 dollars left to buy what used to cost them 80 bucks. obviously they cant buy 80 bucks worth of stuff with 60 bucks, can they? so the demand [which means what people want THAT THEY CAN AFFORD TO PAY FOR] for the other stuff goes down. By the iron law of supply and demand, the prices of the other stuff will go down.
Bottom line, the only thing that can make the price of EVERYTHING go up is an increase in the amount of paper money flying around.
If is clear that when the cost of gasoline went up over $4 a gallon the price of everything that was shipped had to go up or someone’s profit had to go down.
yes
The continuous increase in the nation’s interest bearing debt is the cause of our continuous and accelerating rise in prices.
no