Many claim that the Austrian’s faith in their capital theory is tragic because it is the most theoretically untenable aspect of Austrian economics in general. Now, I’ve never fully understood most of the arguments raised against Austrian capital theory, namely those put forth by Cambridge (Sraffa, Khaldor, etc), but there is one claim that I continuously hear, and it shows up on Wiki (when you search “roundaboutness”). It shows a complete misunderstanding of Austrian capital theory, as I understand it.
It says,
Again, as I understand it, roundaboutness is not a microeconomic concept and profit (interest) is not the result of roundaboutness at all. Profit is the result of time preference (an entirely independent economic phenomenon) which determines the degree of roundaboutness (relatively mediate/immediate methods of production) employed during capitalistic production, i.e., the capital structure (again, a macroeconomic concept). Austrian capital theory specifically says that a high time preference yields more direct methods of production and a higher rate of interest (profit). In other words, they seem to be confusing causality.
Additionally, a higher stock of capital, brought about by a lower time preference (lower rate of interest), will reduce profit rates, but in the aggregate, since production/total output are not constant, you may have a higher amount of total profit (real goods distributed to capital). In fact, such a condition should be expected, but is not guaranteed. This can be easily demonstrated with the simple neoclassical Cobb-Douglass production function (which is theoretically problematic in many ways but still useful for general demonstrative purposes).
Thus, if we understand (a) the fact that time preference is an entirely independent phenomenon, (b) the causal relationship (time preference → interest → roundaboutness), and (c) that the price of capital are the actual market prices of heterogeneous capital goods and not the rate of interest, then all of the arguments raised by Cambridge, Samuelson, etc, seem to fall apart.
And finally, there is one other argument raised by Cambridge that I simply cannot understand/resolve. They claim that lower rates of interest stimulate the use of certain capital goods relative to other capital goods, but that even lower rates of interest induce the exact opposite effect (reswitching). Now it seems like this problem arises solely because they’re trying to quantify extremely complex economic relationships and are probably ignoring or abstracting from extremely relevant variables. But I’ve also heard that low rates of interest will, at first, increase capital intensity (higher ratio of capital relative to labor), but then even lower rates of interest will actually decrease capital intensity (during normal economic times). This makes absolutely no sense; it has to be wrong.
Has anyone heard this claim before?