Max Black, in an essay criticizing general semantics, credits Aristotle with “pioneering modern discoveries in multivalued logics” (Ref. Max Black, Language and Philosophy, Cornell University Press 1949, p228-229).
Can anyone direct me to passages in Aristotle’s writings that substantiate this claim, or to any relevant on-line articles or discussions?
Aristotle didn’t pioneer multivalued logics in any strict sense. Aristotelian logic is strictly two-valued, adhering to the laws of identity, contradiction and excluded middle.
According to Wikipedia though a remark concerning future events served as the catalyst for others to develop multivalued logic.
I think it was a mistake to conclude a need for multivalued logic from Aristotle’s remark though. Roderick Long has a working paper that reconciles Leibniz’s Law with “Aristotle’s Fantasy” and also, in my opinion, incidentally serves to show multivalued logic to be unnecessary for resolving the alleged paradox.
Roderick T. Long, "Future Truth and Leibniz’s Law: An Aristotelean Sea Battle in a Heracleitean River "
Contact me by email and I can send you the Word doc.
For me, the excluded middle holds, even in cases for which it is not be possible to establish which statement of a contradictory pair holds. However, some people have argued that holding the view that one or the other of a contradictory pair of statements about future events is true commits one to the idea that future events are predetermined. And since believed in free will, he considered making an exception that allows a third value: “not yet determined”. Here is that argument: http://www2.drury.edu/cpanza/aristotleseabattle.html.
In the paper refers to, Roderick T. Long gives a reasoned interpretation of that avoids paradox.
It is not clear to me that really thought that the Sea Battle was a problem for excluded middle. From what I have read, that view is conjectural.