Considering the worrisome economic situation, conflict in the Middle East, and Japan´s situation do the people of this board see the seeds being planted for a bloody conflict in the next generation or so? I´m not talking about local conflicts like Af-Pak or Iraq, but more widespread and bloodier. Also talking about currently stable countries engaged in internal conflicts, including ethnic scapegoating.
Are people here optimistic or pessimistic about the next 50 years or so?
I don’t think America can afford it; and we’re the only people capable of conducting a world war right now.
Well, what about multiple regional conflicts? Or internal break down of law and order in some countries?
Well, what about multiple regional conflicts?
It’s possible, but these are much better than the giant imperial wars. They tend to be self-limiting.
Or internal break down of law and order in some countries?
How would this be new?
If at all, it will come in Europe. After the meltdown the EU shall either: 1) be bailed out by China, 2) dissolve peacefully ala USSR or 3) dissolve violently ala Yugoslavia. If China is unable to ‘help’ I’m afraid it will come to the last option, at least in some places.
Not new, but on a scale not seen before and in countries that have not experienced it in several generations.
Until recently, the US has had an economic and military hegemony on the world. In order for the empire to hold onto it’s power, it must now flex it’s military might, since the economic leverage is being quickly diminished.
Things might turn around, though. Depends on the internal nature of the country as it progresses over the next decade.