How perponderance of evidence arises is a market.

Not every dispute can be resolved by mediation. Some disputes will inevitably turn to violence. In that case, one party can back down, conceding the point to the other party (right or wrong), or they can duel (formally or informally). Logistic Earth wrote a good post about the Zimmerman/Martin case here. I will quote, again, what I believe to be the most relevant part:

Some crimes may go “unsolved”. The thing is, if you cannot prove that a person is guilty, then how do you know if he is guilty. In the case of Zimmerman and Martin, if the prosecutor cannot prove that Zimmerman is guilty of murder, then how can we know if he actually is? We cannot. If Zimmerman were to be okay with a preponderance of evidence, that would be most perplexing.

To now address the apple dispute. If you cannot prove that B stole the apple from A, then how do you know he is guilty? If the apple means that much to A, then he may challenge B to a duel. If it doesn’t, then he can just concede the dispute to B. It is possible that A might want to take his chances with a lower standard of proof, but it is actually B who would have to agree to it, as he is the one being accused. Why would the accused ever agree to a lower burden of proof? It can only mean he would be more likely to lose.

It is for that reason that I find it highly unlikely that preponderance of evidence would arise in a private law society.

You need to prove the bolded statement. It is not clear that they will necessarily seek another arbitration. That costs resources, and people do not have unlimited resources to spend towards more arbitration.

PS It is preponderance, not perponderance.