1987 - Stock Market Crash, 2) Early 1989 - Exxon Valdez Oil Spill, 3) Late 1989 - Berlin Wall Crumbles
2008-09 Stock Market Crash, 2) 2010 - BP Oil Disaster, 3) 2010-2011 ?
Will we see some kind of change like a Berlin Wall Collapse in 2010 or 2011? Nullification? Secession?
Let me ask my numerologist
Or an econometrician.
Homer: Not a bear in sight. The Bear Patrol must be working like a charm!
Lisa: That’s specious reasoning, dad.
Homer: Why thank you, honey.
Lisa: By your logic, I could claim that this rock keeps tigers away.
Homer: Hmm. How does it work?
Lisa: It doesn’t work; it’s just a stupid rock!
Homer: Uh-huh.
Lisa: But I don’t see any tigers around, do you?
Homer: Hmm… Lisa, I want to buy your rock.
Come on folks, no one is trying to derive the Laws of History here. It just a funny thing.
I say the Brusselles Wall crumbles, and Europe goes back to city-states.
No.
It’s funny how most are downplaying this - on MISES! of all places! Anyone heard of the Tea Parties? Riots in Greece? Obviously, something revolutionary (or close to it) is brewing. Will it be the fall of the Euro? Will the states secede? Probably not either, but something similiar.
Maybe the states will challenge Obamacare or giving the fed taxes for bailouts. Or Greece or Spain will abandon the Euro. Maybe all of the above will happen the next year or two. Who knows? Quien Sabe? There has been a lot of talk from Woods and others about Nulification, Tea Party Movement, and the future of the EU. It is interesting to see history repeat itself.
Let the bears pay the bear tax! I pay the Homer tax!
You’re right big things are probably going to happen, but it has nothing to do with any except perhaps the second “1.” I don’t understand why you think that a single correlation that would apparently have no effect upon each other would mean that history followed these cycles
Stuff happens, then later… more stuff happens.
I AM A PROPHET OF DOOM.
How old are you?
I say the Brusselles Wall crumbles, and Europe goes back to city-states.
I say, put the hundreds of German princes back on their thrones 
That would benefit me greatly, I would have a shot at a crown (I think?)
That would benefit me greatly, I would have a shot at the crown (I think?)
If they be half as good as Hans-Adam II, I want a German prince for my neighborhood too!
I miss the guillotine and I wasn’t even around to see any royal beheadings.
I believe the BP disaster was a strike. I am now suspicious that the Exxon Valdez may have been, as well. I have three reasons for suspecting the BP disaster was a strike:
Its timing vis-a-vis the Copenhagen disaster. Someone shot down the Copenhagen agreement… it was an inside job, someone defected. I suspect the strike against Deepwater Horizon was retaliation against whoever shot down Copenhagen (it will bring restrictions on US offshore drilling which I theorize is going to hurt the financial interests of whoever shot down Copenhagen)
Obama announced expansion of offshore drilling on April 1st (Fool’s Day)
19 days later - on Hitler’s birthday 4/20 - the Deepwater Horizon explodes for reasons unknown. From day one, the media has been feeding the public a pre-wrapped explanation. Yes, this sounds tin-foil-hat, but if my hypothesis in point (1) is correct, whoever did it would want the target(s?) to know they were attacked and the best way to do that without leaving actual evidence is to choose a date that has some meaning.
I would hesitate to infer anything about the future of the global political system. The only thing that can be said for sure is that it is very unstable. Whether this is “planned chaos” or just plain chaos, I don’t know. If it’s planned chaos, a domino-style political collapse of national governments would lead to centralization and imperialism. If it’s plain chaos, the collapse would lead to decentralization and smaller political units. The trend for at least the past 200 years has been a steady centralization. I do believe that the trend of centralization will break at some point before global government but wouldn’t bet against further successful consolidation.
Clayton -
You can’t centralize and conquer when you have not a penny in the treasury. Its all a house of cards. Republics always are.
Well, when WW2 broke out there where some 50 countries on earth, now there are near to 200. I see WW2 as the of centralization in the history of civilization, perhaps its all downhill (for them) from now on.
@merlin: Wow, I didn’t know there were fewer countries then… where did you get that stat?
Clayton -
Took me ages to find it but here it is: http://athousandnations.com/2009/09/30/seasteading-conference-2009-how-many-countries-in-2050/
“Thiel noted that in 1945, there were about 50 countries and marginal tax rates in the US were 90 percent. Fast forward to 2009 and there are about 200 countries, with marginal tax rates in the US at 40 percent.”