I have lurked here for some time, but never posted beyond a couple of comments on the Mises Daily articles. While I identify strongly with Austrian economic theory, I have noticed that most people here have a much more highly developed sense of these things than I do. I have a friend, who is also a “student” of Ludwig Von Mises, but who supports the existence of the federal reserve. I mentioned that it seems that departure from a gold standard allowed modern states to wage unlimited war, because it was the only way to fund it. He stated that a gold standard won’t work, because if you have population growth, but no growth in the money supply, it causes problems.
I am pretty sure most of what he is saying is nonsense, but I find myself unable to form something that I consider a decent response. I would like to open it up to this community. If he is wrong, then I would love for someone to explain why, because I am not satisfied with just a gut feeling. If he is right, I would love it if someone could elaborate on his points such that they make sense to me. I’m an engineer, not an economist, and while I understand that if the price of grapes goes up people buy less grapes, I’m still struggling through Socialism.
Anyway, here is what he said:
The great thing about gold is that it can’t be replicated. Although more supply can be discovered. The idea of using $ instead of gold is not a bad idea as long as the gov in charge of it is trustworthy and bound by law to not destroy its value. The reason why the world uses USD as base currency is due to it being the only trust worthy currency since WWI. We however are breaching that trust more and more through unrestrained inflation. Hence the call to abandon it. There still is no liberally based gov on earth that can be trusted to implement a currency that can be trusted though.
My problem with the gold standard though is it fails to answer the problems of value fluctuations in terms of productivity/nonproductivity due to its fixed nature.
The gold standard is stationary while economies are dynamic. The two are inherently incompatible with each other. Dynamic economies require dynamic currencies. The GS makes sense on paper in the stationary model but fails to translate into the dynamic reality of fluctuations in economics outside the stationary models.
How can gold as a fixed quantity properly represent a changing system? I get that the GS is a limiter of possible inflation beyond its actual existence. However value is being created while gold is not. Hence the problem. Something that is dynamic cannot be properly represented by something that is static.
Under a GS all gold could be hoarded and thus no more value could be created in a free economy which is retarded. Or more could be discovered wiping out all.
My response was that I didn’t support a gold standard as something enforced by law, I support a gold standard as what the market has decided on as a medium of exchange. If gold becomes untenable for whatever reason, I support the market in finding a new medium. I recognize that it ties the hands of government in a way that the Constitution and laws have not been able to, which is spectactular. I feel that his use of the “dynamic” economy and “static” supply of gold is nonsense, using the wrong words to describe what is happening, but then again, I may be wrong. I welcome any discussion on this. Like I said, my personal thesis is that a gold standard (or whatever market-driven system of money) is the only thing that can protect the economy from having savings destroyed by inflation.