In my last post I said that one always uses one’s resources to fulfill the highest ranking desire(s) that they can fulfill. But after further reflection, I realize that that is not true. For example, suppose that with 10 logs the man can build a table, and with 5 logs the man can build a chair. Suppose the man’s ranking of desires is:
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Table (requires 10 logs)
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1st chair (requires 5 logs)
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2nd chair (requires 5 logs)
If what I said in the last post were true, then if he has 10 logs he will build a table. But the ranking doesn’t tell us that. All we know is that he prefers 1 table to 1 chair. It does not tell us whether he prefers 1 table to 2 chairs. If it is the case he prefers 2 chairs to 1 table, then given 10 logs he will build two chairs, leaving his #1 slot in the ranking unfulfilled, even though he had the resources to fulfill it instead. That is, he may forgo a higher desire in exchange for multiple lesser desires that, combined, he prefers greater than the one higher desire.
Rothbard’s explanation of the law of returns is indeed clearer. But I think I’m still missing a step in the logic.
He writes:
“The law that such an optimum must exist can be proved by contemplating the implications of the contrary. If there were no optimum, the average product would increase indefinitely as the quantity of the factor X increased. (It could not increase indefinitely as the quantity decreases, since the product will be zero when the quantity of the factor is zero.) But if p/a can always be increased merely by increasing a, this means that any desired quantity of P could be secured by merely increasing the supply of X.”
Okay, I follow this so far. We are going to suppose the contrary, show that that leads to a contradiction, thus proving that the supposition is false, and that the law is true. The law says that for any b and c held constant, there is some optimum a. The contrary supposition then is that there exists some b and c held constant for which there does not exist an optimum a–that is, for those specific values of b and c held constant, p will increase without bound as a increases. Okay. Then Rothbard continues:
“This would mean that the proportionate supply of factors Y and Z can be ever so small; any decrease in their supply can always be compensated to increase production by increasing the supply of X. This would signify that factor X is perfectly substitutable for factors Y and Z and that the scarcity of the latter factors would not be a matter of concern to the actor so long as factor X was available in abundance.”
But that doesn’t follow. Our contrary supposition was only that for some particular b and c, there is no optimum for a. For all we know, a does have an optimum when the values of b and c are any smaller, thus a cannot necessarily be increased to compensate for decreases in b or c. In which case X is not perfectly substitutable for factors Y and Z.
Do note that I am not here to argue against Austrian economics. I think Austrian economics makes more sense than anything else. That’s why I’m reading Human Action. I’m just trying to make sure I understand what I’m reading. (And maybe even help strengthen its arguments!)
Also I spot a technical error in Rothbard’s reasoning, though minor in comparison to my question above. He says,
“If there were no optimum, the average product would increase indefinitely as the quantity of the factor X increased. (It could not increase indefinitely as the quantity decreases, since the product will be zero when the quantity of the factor is zero.)”
That’s not necessarily true. Suppose, as an example, it is the case that the marginal product is always decreasing, e.g.,
MP = 10 - a
The total product is the integral of the marginal yield:
TP = 10*a - (1/2)aa
As Rothbard says, TP is 0 when a is zero. Also this TP does not increase indefinitely.
The average product is
AP = TP / a = 10 - (1/2)*a
Except that AP is undefined when a=0, because we can’t divide by 0. It only has a value for nonzero a. But for any nonzero a, we could reduce a (e.g., cut it in half), and that would increase AP.
For example, if a is gallons of water, then a=1 gallon would have an average product of 9.5
for a=0.5 gallons, AP=9.75
for a=0.1 gallons, AP=9.95
for a=0.01 gallons, AP=9.995
etc.
No value of a is optimum, because for any value at which AP is defined, you can always increase AP by decreasing a. Thus this would be a case where there is no optimum, but the average product does not increase indefinitely.