What you are witnessing right now is yet another demonstration that speculators (in the modern sense) are a fickle lot. The announcement by Moody’s that the outlook for US Treasury Bonds is negative was enough to send everybody into a panic. Chinese rating agencies had already degraded them and gave a negative outlook last year but what do they know? And it will be the same with oil and agricultural commodities. Unless Bernanke implements QE3 damn right now expect a (slight) correction as soon as the aforementioned speculators find out the world won’t end tomorrow.
The credit rating of the US Government is about to take a hit in the not too distant future. S&P just initiated the first warning shot by rating them from stable to negative.
Once other rating entities follow suit, it won’t be long before investors look for a way out of the dollar while the getting is good.
There’s already pressure to convert to a new reserve currency. If the major economic powers choose to convert, then the dollar is on it’s way to a rapid decline in value.
The uncertainty is the willingness of the major economic powers to move in a new direction.
Silver is volatile as it is, but it was undervalued to begin with.
So what did Mises say about the Crack-up Boom again?
Anyone else think it’ll break through fifty before having a correction? I’m debating selling some of my investment now and rebuy once the price has corrected itself a bit.
Guys, I hope you’re doing this with “play”-sized portions of your assets. Usually, the knowledge that affects us the most is the one that we don’t even know we’re lacking (i.e. the unknown unknown).
Because if everyone expected a correction, then the price would go down because people would be shorting, selling, and not buying. You’re not a contrarian if everyone else is too.