The reason you are incorrect about the ability of miners of gold being able to cause the business cycle under a 100% gold standard is twofold.
- Money is a medium of exchange. It has value because it can be traded for other things. In the case of gold, gold itself is valuable. People want it for electronics, jewelry, etc. Gold is a commodity that is used in production. Fiat has no productive or intrinsic value of any kind. People do not build things with this paper.
So, when paper (fiat) is used as money, its ONLY value is as a medium of exchange. Since it is just paper (or even just 1’s and 0’s on a computer system), the supply can be increased arbitrarily, and quite easily, I might add. Increasing the supply of fiat only serves to cause the price levels of other goods to rise. This actually usually comes in the form of an artificial lowering of interest rates. As credit is extended artificially, malinvestments are made in the inflating of a bubble, and a crash happens followed by the markets adjusting prices, and generally, a reduction in price level as the bubble deflates.
When gold is used as a medium of exchange, and in a society where financial institutions cannot rely on fractional reserve banking or a central bank for a bailout after taking large risks that do not pay off, the value of currency is as not only a medium of exchange, but ALSO as an actual, tangible, valuable commodity. It is also superior to fiat because it cannot just be printed or input into a computer system, or in other words, it is nearly impossible to counterfeit. Therefore, the supply of this hard currency couldn’t be increased arbitrarily. It only would increase as it was mined.
So here’s the deal. Gold mining companies wouldn’t want to mine all of their gold as fast as possible, as then they will be out of resources for next year. Obviously, someone who owns a forest does not cut down all the trees at once. They cut only what is needed by the market, and do all they can to maintain it (like replanting). Further, suppose they did mine all the gold at once and dumped it on the market. As they exchange it for other things, it slowly will lose its purchasing power (since the supply, surplus is so large). And even if they did anyway, they won’t be needing that machines, fuel, labor, etc. next year, since they don’t have anymore to mine. So there will be a higher supply of all these things next year, meaning the prices will tend to decrease. So while the amount of gold increases, when used as money, things that it is traded for become cheaper.
Maybe I haven’t explained this very well (I think much too simplified), but the gist of it is, the market constantly is adjusting these things on its own in an attempt to find balance. The only thin that can hinder it is external intervention, like a central bank arbitrarily increasing the money supply/artificially lowering the interest rates.
- While I touched a little bit on this point in #1, I don’t think you have explained how the business cycle comes about and continues. It is because credit is expanded by an external actor, and this artificially lowers the interest rates. But only loan institutions could do this. A gold mining company does not loan out its freshly mined gold, it trades it for another commodity. Now, if a gold mining company tried to do this, that would be one thing. However, in a free market, if they take risks that don’t pay off, they are out of luck. They wouldn’t be bailed out by a “gold miner of last resort,” so to speak.
The point is, in a free society (which can only exist with free markets), there is no incentive to take such big risks. In the system we have today, banks are encouraged to take these big risks. This is because:
-
If the risks pay off, they keep the profit; if the risks do not pay off, they are bailed out by the central bank (which uses the power of a monopoly on the creation of a fiat currency held in place with legal tender laws) that uses its only tool, inflation, to bail them out, or in other words, when the high-risk-taking banks fail, they simply steal some of the value of the money in your pocket to cover their asses. It’s like a casino telling a rich guy to play roulette and he can keep all his winnings and if he loses it all, the casino owner will simply take enough chips from all the other players to reimburse the rich man for his losses so he can continue gambling.
-
If a bank refuses to take high-risks, they are bested by their competition, who keep the winnings and are reimbursed for losses. This is like how, in my casino example, if another rich man sees what is going on and recognizes that it is wrong and decides not to bet big, the other rich guy makes lots more money, and when the other rich guy loses, the casino steals chips from the honest rich man. What incentive is there not to gamble big, then?
***Keep in mind that just because there is a 100% gold standard, this doesn’t mean everyone has to carry around gold coins. There would be banks that keep them in reserve and issue you a paper note that is a claim to the amount of gold you have stored with them. It’s like a warehouse receipt that entitled the holder of the note to redeem it for the specified amount of gold on demand from the issuing institution.