yuberries,
Rettoper is probably one of those guys who thinks they could rob a bank if they tried.
ad hominem and irrelevent.
Well gee Rettoper, if even you’re able to come up with a plan to break windows and profit off it, what makes you think the people most interested in defending their capital won’t already have a counter for it? Defending is cheaper (you admitted multiple times now), safer (because aggression risks retaliation), but in a free market is more efficient yet than any central planner can manage.
We dont know the manner in which a hegemon PDA will employ its resources to gain market share. Perhaps the emerging hegemon will simply sit back and conserve resources while lesser powers consume themselves in endless conflict. Perhaps, they will align with the strongest and most popular power bloc, then declare themselves when most of their competitors have been reduced. Perhaps, they will engage in a measure expansion that doesnt cause alarm. In sum, neither you or I know what machinations men like alexander, ceasar, tamerlane, napoleon, stalin, mao, et al will take to gain and hold power. However, the common demominator among all of these regional hegemons was coercion and conquest.
If a “HEGEMON PDA 1000 TANKS LOLOLOL” comes into being due to a retarded psychopathic billionaire (disregarding that he wouldn’t be able to be a billionaire this retarded) wasting his life earnings, the defensive PDAs can make half those tanks and use their defensive advantage to still win. Nukes are even bigger inhibitors since both sides would just lose everything.
Defense has never resulted in expansion of power. MOreover, nobody is stating that an emerging hegemon is going to be reckless and miscalculating. Of course, those PDAs that engage in provocative and destructive wars will lose market share and dissolve. YOur naive assumption that all aggression is unprofitable or unpopular shows how little you understand history or human nature.
By any objective measure, Mao’s use of coercion to take power in china was neither unsuccessful or unpopular. Moreover alexander the great’s wielding of power and coercion was not “retarded” nor “psychopathic”. lastly, while defense does offer a tactical advantage over the attacker, from a strategic viewpoint a defense posture in business or conflict does not increase strength relative to a competitor who is chipping away at market share with aggressive growth policies.
In sum, I know of no industry leaders who do not engage in pro-growth strategic business plans. The security industry would reward pro-growth firms.
Nukes are even bigger inhibitors since both sides would just lose everything.
The PDA, knowing that, wouldn’t make 1000 tanks unless he’s deeply retarded. The PDA, knowing that, wouldn’t make a nuke to launch it aggressively.
I think what your trying to say is that nuclear detterence works. you are correct. however, if one side has a nuke, then every PDA will eventually have one, and justifiably so. In this case, anarchic society will be beset with thousands of nukes and other WMDs. Perhaps an arms race would ensue. moreover, it is more likely with the proliferation of nuclear weaponry that a faith-based actor or one of those “retarded psychopathic billionaire’s” gets ahold of one and unleashes a fireball on a defenseless population center.
But yes, if a free society could control the use and proliferation of WMD by sociopaths or other faith-based actors who would use them to destablize society then nuclear weaponry would be effective at reducing the size and scope of conflict between PDAs that possessed them.
lastly, anarchic society could reduce the size and scope of conflict, however without conflict positive change could not result. In many instances throughout history positive change has occurred through force. This change could not occur as readily in a anarchic society that used nuclear weaponry to coerce potential revolutionaries from forcing beneficial change on the established order.
In sum, your assessment of a nuclear armed anarchic society offers nothing beyond what already exists on the geopolitic.
In contrast, liberal democracies are extremely unlikely to wage war on each other. Indeed, there have been ZERO wars between higher order democracies since 1945 despite hundreds of conflicts during this period.
And yet you ignore the precise difference between HEGEMON PDA LOLOLO and the state you vouch which incentivizes stupid behavior. The state got his army for free, the PDA had to work entirely for it. That you still believe subsidizing RISKY AND RETARDED behavior is going to best prevent RISKY AND RETARDED behavior is beyond me. Perhaps you haven’t put 2+2 together.
you obviously havent read my posts.
the PDA is self-sufficient – it alone is responsible for organizing, planning, funding, research, development, expansion, command, control, operations, intelligence, et al. All without any transparency and with complete independence from any other entity if it chooses. Moreover, it benefits directly from its actions or plunder. For example, the more successful its armed enterprises, the more profitable it will be.
hence, all actions by the PDA are motivated by profit and profit alone. Morality, promotion of life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness, justice, peace, to check genocide, and others humanitarian and ideological wars will not be fought by profitable PDAs. If a private company bases it actions on moral versus profit then it will lose market share and dissolve.
hence the only wars fought in anarchic society will wars that are profitable.
In contrast, within constitutional federal republics, those that fund war (taxpayers), those that dispense funds (congress), those that command (president), those that see (intelligence community), those that defend (state militia/law enforcement), those that wage war (military), those that benefit (defense related industry) are all disparate and in many cases competing entities. Moreover, their actions are all transparent to each other.
In sum, if the geopolitic is democratized (as it will eventually become) then the likelihood of armed conflict will decline dramatically.
1- Aggressive behavior is risky due to retaliation
not always,
it depends on the situation. In many cases aggressive behavior can save lives, preserve power, and defeat enemies. otherwise then how can you discount the success of numerous aggressors throughout history who profited from aggressive action.
2- Aggressive behavior can be countered by cheaper defensive behavior
Tactically not always, strategically never. Passivity in the face of an aggressive expansive competitor is suicide in business or war. History is replete with passive companies that resisted expansion only to experience hostile takeovers, loss of market share, or irrelevence.
Tactically a defensive posture is a force multiplier, but not against an imaginative and competent leader. History is replete with examples of heretofore unconquerable positions that were taken quite easily be a determined aggressor. Moreover, expenses designed to preserve existing wealth is funds denied to expansionary enterprises, hence the defense minded PDA will never gain market share.
- WHO THE F**K CAN MAKE A BUCK BEING A JERK?
henry ford, jp morgan, tj watson, thomas edison, carnegie, vanderbilt, trump, rockefeller, et al.
these great men (and many successful entreprenuers in general) are/were considered “jerks” by their contemporaries. Nonetheless, their contributions to society are noteworthy and without them societal health and well being would be significanlty less than it is today.
perhaps, busy and productive business leaders dont have time to suffer fools.