On the same subject, but from a different perspective: https://forum.freecapitalists.org/t/whats-the-action-axiom/18369 There I wrote:
I can predict that a female will come home with me with high accuracy if I hear certain noises from her. I need not - and don’t - predict specific concrete visuals of her walking with me to a certain station and doing a certain thing, nor specific movements, other than the general change in location to my room. Yet I can predict this entirely through statistics: it has worked every time so far, so I am pretty confident it will work again. I don’t need to know or ever consider the process teleologically. I can entirely comprehend the means without any teleological consideration at all. All I need is, “It worked before many times, so it will probably work this time.”
Statistical methods are indeed useful, but without insight into the underlying mechanisms I cannot really hope to improve my success rate with the ladies other than by tinkering and cataloging. If, on the other hand, I have a theory of mind that suggests that a female’s mind works in such and such a way (either like mine in some way (teleology), or through a mechanical metaphor), I can potentially boost my success rate to a whole new level.