Personally, I don’t buy any of the responses to to mgmcintyre’s statement offered thus far. I think the two best arguments were made by Sieben and Consultant, but they still didn’t win me over. Let me see if I can explain one at a time. First…
“This assumes they can corner the market. We repeatedly state there is a demand for protection, not exploitation. So that out of the many firms I could choose to patronize, I will choose the one who offers me the best deal. Once they have this contract, if they try to break it and take my stuff, they might be able to get away with it but their reputation on the market will suffer, and they will have no more clients, going broke.” - Sieben
The thing I don’t like about this argument is that there are a lot of unstated assumptions at play here. For one, Sieben seems to assume that there will naturally be a lot of firms on the defense market. But is that true? Suppose the cost of defense falls as you increase your customer base in a certain geographic area (say that it is cheaper on a per person basis to protect 1,000 people than it is to protect 1 person). This would give “large” firms a significant cost advantage. Maybe so much of an advantage that only a handful of firms would operate in this “market” and new firms would find it difficult to enter.
If that is the case, it isn’t obvious to me that competition will eliminate “exploitation”. Imagine you’re living in Iowa and the goverment of the USA was essentially a big defense company. But the company has treated you wrong for long enough and you want to “switch” defense companies. Could you do that without moving? I doubt it. And even if you did move to some other geographic area with another defense company, are you sure competition would ensure that the other defense company was better? Hey, you basically have your pick of moving to a few hundred countries now. How has voting with your feet turned out so far??
I have other complaints with Sieben’s argument (robbing from your customers may ruin your reputation, but what about robbing from other people’s customers), but I want to move on and address Consultant’s comments too.
"You don’t take into account the following:
#1 Aggressors face risks and make time and money investments to rob you, lowering the profit below the “revenue” they steal from you
#2 Agressors have alternative career options without those risks. For example, they could become defenders.
#3 Some level of crime is always acceptable, as the price would be infinite for total protection".- Consultant
She makes an excellent point in #1. It is true that in attacking you, the aggressors take on a variety of risks and costs which lowers the net benefit of the theft. So when hiring a defender, you don’t need to hire one that can dominate you, you only need to hire one that will raise the cost of stealing from you to the point that it is no longer profitable for aggressors to try. BUT I think mgmcintyre’s point still stands that if you there is no reason to trade with a defense company that can physically dominate you. And if there are indeed economies of scale in defense provision, then I think it is pretty likely that you would only be dealing with defense companies that could dominate you. So that is bad news all around!
Over all, I am still strongly inclined to agree with mgmcintyre. At least, I don’t think think his initial statement has been proven false yet.