OK so a lot of people have pointed out that Romney is in the clear lead in NH with nearly half the vote. Here’s the thing these people don’t seem to realize: the percentages are only from polled REGISTERED REPUBLICANS. When you take into consideration that nearly half of NH voters are registered independent, you’ll start to see why it’s very possible that Dr. Paul could win in NH. Dr. Paul is huge with independents, and since there’s so much at stake in this election it’s easy to see why they’d come out and vote for him.
How about this: if Dr. Paul wins in NH, you consider moving there. If he loses I promise never to post another NH or FSP-related topic on here again. Challenge accepted?
I was big into that theory four years ago. The polls weren’t accurate because young people have a tendency to go without land lines and weren’t being called; only likely voters were being polled and Ron Paul was going to bring in a ton of first time voters; only Republicans were being polled… well, experience suggests that the polls are probably close to the truth.
Barring a very unexpected surge at the last minute, Ron Paul is going to finish second or third in NH, very distant from Romney at the top.
If I am going to move, it will be out of the country. And I’m not bothered by you posting FSP stuff here. Challenge not accepted.
Something like 48% of NH’s voters are registered independents. Independents NEVER get polled. All the polls which put Romney at 43% are only polling registered republicans. That means independents are going to be the ones electing Dr. Paul. Everywhere I go in NH all I see are signs for Dr. Paul. Manchester (the largest city) is full of free staters and loyal Paul supporters. They obviously aren’t polled but I know for a fact they will turn up for the vote on Tuesday.
I’ll stay optimistic with you and do what I can to support Ron Paul, until the end and even if the end is not the end the end I wanted, I will continue on, but under absolutely no circumstance will I ever move to New Hampshire. (Just kidding I’ve never been there. I heard you have a lot of granite) I guess we can only speculate, but I hope your on to something.
I’ll stay optimistic with you and do what I can to support Ron Paul, until the end and even if the end is not the end the end I wanted, I will continue on, but under absolutely no circumstance will I ever move to New Hampshire. (Just kidding I’ve never been there. I heard you have a lot of granite) I guess we can only speculate, but I hope your on to something.
The polls have been wrong before and I’m sure this primary is no exception.
Come to NH. Yes NH has some problems, but in general you’ll feel a lot freer. The victimless crime laws NH does have are constantly being challenged and I’m sure most of them will be off the books sometime soon. There’s enough libertarians in political office to make a difference.
But my point is Dr. Paul still has a chance to win NH. In fact his chances are huge. All the libertarians I know in NH are active in some way. They’ll help get out the vote.
The poll, taken after the Iowa Caucuses, also shows Rick Santorum “leaping” to 11% (earning him a predictable Washington Times headline that ignores Paul’s surge), Newt Gingrich languishing at 9%, Jon Huntsman stagnating at 8% and Rick Perry barely registering at 1%.
“On the heels of his close third place finish at the Iowa Caucus, Ron Paul is polling a strong second place in New Hampshire. From here on out, it is a two-man race between Ron Paul and Mitt Romney given that one of the tickets out of Iowa was a dead-end due to Rick Santorum’s glaring lack of viability,” said Ron Paul 2012 National Campaign Chairman Jesse Benton.
“There are only two campaigns that have the resources and infrastructure to win the Republican nomination – and one of those organizations belongs to Ron Paul,” added Mr. Benton.
The poll of 498 likely primary voters has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points and ten percent undecided, showing Dr. Paul with the potential to catch and surpass Mitt Romney and win the Granite State.
OK but realize the polls have been way wrong before. In 2008 all the polls showed Obomber having a huge lead over Hillary in NH. Night of the primary Hillary wins. I’m certain the same thing will happen w/ Dr. Paul and Romney.
Do you plan on campaigning and bringing out everyone? From Canada I can’t effect things much, but you might.
Anyhow, as much as I love Ron Paul, I worry that a lot of his supporters are becoming a sort of cult of personality that doesn’t give a shit about his Libertarian ideals and will abandon the ideas he’s promoting the instant he ceases to be relevant again. He’s done more for the cause of freedom in ten years than many have done in their lifetimes, but it would be a waste if he were just a libertarian Ayn Rand who creates a base of support that dissapates into the little fascist groupings that the State promotes (Liberals, conservatives, etc). It needs to be far more decentralized, as I don’t see any big name Libertarians out there besides Paul and MAYBE Peter Schiff.